A spokesman for the site told Buzzfeed News it had lost $276,424 on the wager. Lack of big data Let’s start with a crash course on how bookmakers set the odds.
There is room for debate as to whether these are truly ‘lies’ or merely somewhat inaccurate statements based on Trump’s own perception of the truth, although his statement that Democrats want a steel barrier rather than a concrete border wall appears to have been conjured from thin air.īut since chose The Washington Post as its arbiter of truth, and The Post counted six, it was left with no option but to pay up. With political betting more popular than ever among Pinnacle’s bettors, don’t place a bet on politics before reading the five reasons why bookmakers fail in political predictions. Trump also claimed that “every day Customs and Border Patrol agents encounter thousands of illegal immigrants trying to enter our country” - the more accurate figure is about 1,000 per day. These included the assertion that there is a “growing humanitarian and security crisis at our southern border.” The key word here is “growing” – The Post points out that detentions of people trying to cross to the US from Mexico peaked in 2000 at 1.6 million, but have been in decline ever since, according to the Department of Homeland Security.īut The Post also notes that while “overall numbers of migrants crossing illegally are down, since 2014 more families from El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras have begun to trek to the United States in search of safer conditions or economic opportunities, creating a humanitarian crisis.”
With odds of -145 for more than 3.5 lies (presumably allowing for one half-truth) and +115 for fewer than 3.5, the site reported that 92 percent of bettors took the over.Īccording to The Washington Post - a news site that has not shown much, if any, love for the sitting president – its Fact Checker found six inaccurate statements Trump during the course of the address.
0 kommentar(er)
